Tromsø vs CFR Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.0 vs 51.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Tromsø possess a formidable attacking unit, with H. Larsen accounting for 8 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.4 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Tromsø — 1.1 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of CFR, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Tromsø has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: CFR is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Tromsø is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while CFR shows signs of decline with 1W in last 5.

💡 Why This Matters: The 25.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Tromsø. In practical terms, Tromsø would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Tromsø emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.5 vs 33.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-08-13), Tromsø came out on top with a 2-1 victory over CFR. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Tromsø secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. CFR will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Tromsø will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-08-06), Tromsø came out on top with a 0-5 victory over CFR. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Notably, Tromsø achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against CFR shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-5 scoreline was emphatic — Tromsø completely dominated CFR in that encounter, raising serious questions about CFR's ability to compete at this level. CFR will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Tromsø will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.