Tunisia vs Belgium Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 51.1 vs 56.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Belgium's attack is on another level, averaging 2.7 goals per match with C. De Ketelaere leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Belgium holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Tunisia's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

Tunisia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Tunisia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Belgium has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Belgium is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Tunisia shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 47.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belgium. In practical terms, Belgium would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Belgium emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 74.8 compared to 27.2, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Belgium as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-06-06), Belgium prevailed 5-0 against Tunisia. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Belgium secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Belgium completely dominated Tunisia in that encounter, raising serious questions about Tunisia's ability to compete at this level. Tunisia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belgium will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.