Turkey vs Greece Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 49.5 vs 53.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Turkey holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Greece's 1.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Turkey's backline outperforms Greece's, with 0.6 goals conceded per match versus 1.0.

Turkey has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Turkey is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

🔥 Form Momentum: Turkey is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 21 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Greece has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.89 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 79% win probability for Turkey. In practical terms, Turkey would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Turkey holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 11.7-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent UEFA Women's Nations League match (2025-06-03), Turkey prevailed 0-1 against Greece. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Turkey achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Greece shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Greece will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Turkey will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.