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Compare UCV vs Rosario

UCV vs Rosario Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare UCV vs Rosario: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

UCV UCV Home Team
Rosario Rosario Away Team
UCV
40.7
W L W L L W

Last 10 Matches

Rosario
54.8
L D L W W W W D

Performance Radar

UCV
Rosario

Categories Won

7

UCV

3

Draw

5

Rosario

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

3W, 0D, 3L

50%

4W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

7 / 6 matches

1.1

9 / 8 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

11 / 6 matches

0.2

2 / 8 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
33%

2 / 6 matches

75%

6 / 8 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
67%

4 / 6 matches

25%

2 / 8 matches

Both Teams to Score
33%

2 / 6 matches

0%

0 / 8 matches

Top Scorer
J. Cuesta (3 goals)
Á. Di María (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.7

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.8

46.1

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.98

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.19

0.96

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
40.7

Attack: 38.7, Defense: 38.7, Form: 48.4

54.8

Attack: 35.2, Defense: 89.7, Form: 48.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2

16-30'

1

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
UCV
Rosario
UCV

Power Rating Breakdown

40.7

Overall

Attack 38.7
Defense 38.7
Form 48.4
Consistency 32.5
Rosario

Power Rating Breakdown

54.8

Overall

Attack 35.2
Defense 89.7
Form 48.1
Consistency 49.4

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

47.8 vs 46.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
UCV logo UCV
W
Libertad (33%)
L
Rosario (57%)
W
Ind. del Valle (55%)
L
Rosario (53%)
L
Ind. del Valle (59%)
W
Libertad (30%)
Rosario logo Rosario
L
Corinthians (57%)
D
Corinthians (52%)
L
Ind. del Valle (59%)
W
UCV (43%)
W
Libertad (30%)
W
UCV (46%)
W
Libertad (33%)
D
Ind. del Valle (55%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Libertad A
1 - 0 W
33%
Rosario A
0 - 4 L
57%
Ind. del Valle H
2 - 0 W
55%
Rosario H
0 - 3 L
53%
Ind. del Valle A
1 - 3 L
59%
Libertad H
3 - 1 W
30%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Corinthians A
0 - 1 L
57%
Corinthians H
0 - 0 D
52%
Ind. del Valle A
0 - 1 L
59%
UCV H
4 - 0 W
43%
Libertad H
1 - 0 W
30%
UCV A
3 - 0 W
46%
Libertad A
1 - 0 W
33%
Ind. del Valle H
0 - 0 D
55%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.7 vs 46.1), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with UCV averaging 1.2 and Rosario averaging 1.1 goals per match.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Rosario — 0.2 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of UCV, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

UCV has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Rosario has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.1 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Rosario has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.75 points per game over their last 8 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Rosario. In practical terms, Rosario would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Rosario holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.1-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores encounter (2026-05-19), Rosario came out on top with a 4-0 victory over UCV. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Rosario secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Rosario completely dominated UCV in that encounter, raising serious questions about UCV's ability to compete at this level. UCV will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Rosario will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores encounter (2026-04-29), Rosario came out on top with a 0-3 victory over UCV. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Notably, Rosario achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against UCV shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Rosario completely dominated UCV in that encounter, raising serious questions about UCV's ability to compete at this level. UCV will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Rosario will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

UCV

UCV

VS
Rosario

Rosario

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

UCV

3W 0D 3L · 7 goals scored · 11 conceded

Rosario

4W 2D 2L · 9 goals scored · 2 conceded

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