Udinese vs Bologna Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 54.4 vs 62.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Udinese and Bologna is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.2 and 1.0 goals per game respectively.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Udinese — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Bologna, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Udinese has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bologna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 67% win probability for Udinese. In practical terms, Udinese would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Udinese, with a 6.8-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.