Ukraine vs Japan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 62.6 vs 70.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Japan's attack is on another level, averaging 3.0 goals per match with N/A leading the charge with 0 goals. Ukraine manages just 0.8 per match.

Defensively, Japan is far superior, conceding just 0.0 goals per match with 1 clean sheets, while Ukraine leaks 1.7 per match.

Ukraine has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Japan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Japan, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Japan is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (100), defense (100), and form (100) leaves little room for doubt. Ukraine will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In their recent Under 21 Internationals match (2026-06-08), Japan prevailed 3-0 against Ukraine. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Japan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Japan completely dominated Ukraine in that encounter, raising serious questions about Ukraine's ability to compete at this level. Ukraine will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Japan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.