Union Berlin vs Dortmund Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Union Berlin vs Dortmund: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Union Berlin
Home Team
Dortmund
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Union Berlin
Draw
Dortmund
Statistical Comparison
2W, 3D, 5L
6W, 0D, 4L
15 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
-4
+8
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 6 matches
3W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 62.6
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 64.1
1W / 4 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.5
Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.34
Attack: 55.5, Defense: 40.7, Form: 22.2
Attack: 71.8, Defense: 71.8, Form: 68.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 60.9 vs 63.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Dortmund holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus Union Berlin's 1.5, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Dortmund's backline outperforms Union Berlin's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.9.
Union Berlin has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Dortmund has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Dortmund has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
❄️ Form Momentum: Union Berlin is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Dortmund has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Dortmund is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Union Berlin shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 22.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Dortmund. In practical terms, Dortmund would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, Dortmund holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 65.2 against 42.6 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Union Berlin
Dortmund
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Union Berlin
2W 3D 5L · 15 goals scored · 19 conceded
Dortmund
6W 0D 4L · 19 goals scored · 11 conceded
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