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Compare Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Union Berlin vs Dortmund Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Union Berlin vs Dortmund: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Union Berlin Union Berlin Home Team
Dortmund Dortmund Away Team
Union Berlin
42.6
L D W W D L L L D L

Last 10 Matches

Dortmund
65.2
L W W W L W L L W W

Performance Radar

Union Berlin
Dortmund

Categories Won

2

Union Berlin

1

Draw

12

Dortmund

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

60%

6W, 0D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Ilić (4 goals)
S. Guirassy (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
60.9

League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 62.6

63.4

League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 64.1

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.0

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.5

2.24

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating
42.6

Attack: 55.5, Defense: 40.7, Form: 22.2

65.2

Attack: 71.8, Defense: 71.8, Form: 68.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

2
6

76-90+'

8
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Union Berlin

Power Rating Breakdown

42.6

Overall

Attack 55.5
Defense 40.7
Form 22.2
Consistency 61.3
Dortmund

Power Rating Breakdown

65.2

Overall

Attack 71.8
Defense 71.8
Form 68.0
Consistency 35.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.8 vs 81.8

Opponent Quality

62.6 vs 64.1

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 33%
Union Berlin logo Union Berlin
L
Aarau (47%)
D
Winterthur (37%)
W
Augsburg (62%)
W
Mainz (70%)
D
Köln (64%)
L
Leipzig (79%)
L
Wolfsburg (62%)
L
Heidenheim (76%)
Dortmund logo Dortmund
L
Düsseldorf (49%)
W
RW Oberhausen (43%)
W
Bremen (68%)
W
Frankfurt (65%)
L
M'gladbach (77%)
W
Freiburg (61%)
L
Hoffenheim (69%)
L
Bayer 04 (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aarau A
1 - 2 L
47%
Winterthur A
1 - 1 D
37%
Augsburg H
4 - 0 W
62%
Mainz A
3 - 1 W
70%
Köln H
2 - 2 D
64%
Leipzig A
1 - 3 L
79%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 2 L
62%
Heidenheim A
1 - 3 L
76%
St. Pauli H
1 - 1 D
47%
Bayern Munich A
0 - 4 L
82%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Düsseldorf A
1 - 2 L
49%
RW Oberhausen A
3 - 1 W
43%
Bremen A
2 - 0 W
68%
Frankfurt H
3 - 2 W
65%
M'gladbach A
0 - 1 L
77%
Freiburg H
4 - 0 W
61%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 2 L
69%
Bayer 04 H
0 - 1 L
70%
Stuttgart A
2 - 0 W
81%
Hamburger H
3 - 2 W
58%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 60.9 vs 63.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Dortmund holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus Union Berlin's 1.5, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Dortmund's backline outperforms Union Berlin's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.9.

Union Berlin has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Dortmund has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Dortmund has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Union Berlin is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Dortmund has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Dortmund is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Union Berlin shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Dortmund. In practical terms, Dortmund would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Dortmund holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 65.2 against 42.6 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

VS
Dortmund

Dortmund

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Union Berlin

2W 3D 5L · 15 goals scored · 19 conceded

Dortmund

6W 0D 4L · 19 goals scored · 11 conceded

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