United States vs Belgium Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.4 vs 56.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Belgium leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.7 goals per game compared to United States's 2.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Belgium — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of United States, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.

United States has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: United States has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Belgium has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belgium. In practical terms, Belgium would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Belgium holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 74.8 against 53.6 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-07-07): Belgium defeated United States 1-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Belgium's ability to perform on the biggest stage against United States. Notably, Belgium achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against United States shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Belgium completely dominated United States in that encounter, raising serious questions about United States's ability to compete at this level. United States will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belgium will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-28), Belgium prevailed 2-5 against United States. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Belgium achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against United States shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 2-5 scoreline was emphatic — Belgium completely dominated United States in that encounter, raising serious questions about United States's ability to compete at this level. United States will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belgium will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.