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Compare Universitario vs Tolima

Universitario vs Tolima Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Universitario vs Tolima: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Universitario Universitario Home Team
Tolima Tolima Away Team
Universitario
39.1
D D L W L D

Last 10 Matches

Tolima
41.6
L D L W W L D W L L

Performance Radar

Universitario
Tolima

Categories Won

1

Universitario

5

Draw

9

Tolima

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
17%

1W, 3D, 2L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

5 / 6 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

6 / 6 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

0

0

Clean Sheet
50%

3 / 6 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
33%

2 / 6 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
33%

2 / 6 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Á. Valera (2 goals)
L. Sandoval (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.7

46.3

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.76

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.07

0.81

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
39.1

Attack: 25.6, Defense: 64.0, Form: 16.3

41.6

Attack: 28.9, Defense: 67.4, Form: 28.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

2

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

2

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

5
Universitario
Tolima
Universitario

Power Rating Breakdown

39.1

Overall

Attack 25.6
Defense 64.0
Form 16.3
Consistency 70.0
Tolima

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 28.9
Defense 67.4
Form 28.9
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

46.7 vs 47.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Universitario logo Universitario
D
Tolima (42%)
D
Nacional (47%)
L
Coquimbo (52%)
W
Nacional (44%)
L
Coquimbo (48%)
D
Tolima (47%)
Tolima logo Tolima
L
Ind. del Valle (55%)
D
Universitario (46%)
L
Coquimbo (52%)
W
Nacional (44%)
W
Coquimbo (48%)
L
Nacional (47%)
D
Universitario (43%)
W
O'Higgins (45%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tolima H
0 - 0 D
42%
Nacional A
0 - 0 D
47%
Coquimbo A
1 - 2 L
52%
Nacional H
4 - 2 W
44%
Coquimbo H
0 - 2 L
48%
Tolima A
0 - 0 D
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ind. del Valle H
0 - 1 L
55%
Universitario A
0 - 0 D
46%
Coquimbo A
0 - 3 L
52%
Nacional H
3 - 0 W
44%
Coquimbo H
3 - 0 W
48%
Nacional A
1 - 3 L
47%
Universitario H
0 - 0 D
43%
O'Higgins H
2 - 0 W
45%
O'Higgins A
0 - 1 L
47%
Táchira H
0 - 1 L
45%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.0 vs 46.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Universitario averaging 0.8 and Tolima averaging 0.9 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Universitario conceding 1.0 and Tolima conceding 0.9 per match.

Universitario has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Tolima has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 1.8 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Universitario is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Tolima's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

Statistically, there is very little to choose between these two teams. The numbers point to an evenly contested match where fine details and in-game decisions will likely prove decisive.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 0-0 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores (2026-05-27). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams drew 0-0 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores (2026-04-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Universitario

Universitario

VS
Tolima

Tolima

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Universitario

1W 3D 2L · 5 goals scored · 6 conceded

Tolima

3W 2D 5L · 9 goals scored · 9 conceded

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