Urartu vs Aragvi Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.1 vs 46.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Aragvi's attack is on another level, averaging 4.0 goals per match with N/A leading the charge (0 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Urartu — 2.0 goals conceded per game and 0 clean sheets put them well ahead of Aragvi, who give up 3.0 goals per match at the other end.

Urartu has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Aragvi has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Aragvi has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Urartu is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 5.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Urartu is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Aragvi is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 1 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Aragvi faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 3.0 goals per match. If Urartu can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Aragvi. In practical terms, Aragvi would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Aragvi holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-17), Aragvi prevailed 4-3 against Urartu. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Aragvi secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 4-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Urartu will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Aragvi will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.