Uruguay vs Peru Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.5 vs 54.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

The attacking output of Uruguay and Peru is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 0.8 and 1.0 goals per game respectively.

Uruguay's backline outperforms Peru's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.7.

Uruguay has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 2.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Uruguay is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Peru is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Uruguay. In practical terms, Uruguay would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

Uruguay has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.6-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - South America (2025-09-05): Uruguay defeated Peru 3-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Uruguay's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Peru. Uruguay secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Uruguay completely dominated Peru in that encounter, raising serious questions about Peru's ability to compete at this level. Peru will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Uruguay will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.