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Compare Utrecht vs Ajax

Utrecht vs Ajax Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Utrecht vs Ajax: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Utrecht Utrecht Home Team
Ajax Ajax Away Team
Utrecht
59.4
W L D W W W W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Ajax
57.1
W W W D D W D L D W

Performance Radar

Utrecht
Ajax

Categories Won

8

Utrecht

2

Draw

5

Ajax

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

50%

5W, 4D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
G. Zechiël (3 goals)
D. Klaassen (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
100%

4W / 4 matches

43%

3W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.0

League Difficulty: 73.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

47.1

League Difficulty: 69.3, Opponent Quality: 55.4

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.06

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.26

1.76

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
59.4

Attack: 65.4, Defense: 54.5, Form: 65.4

57.1

Attack: 51.8, Defense: 71.2, Form: 48.6

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1
7

76-90+'

5
Utrecht
Ajax
Utrecht

Power Rating Breakdown

59.4

Overall

Attack 65.4
Defense 54.5
Form 65.4
Consistency 43.3
Ajax

Power Rating Breakdown

57.1

Overall

Attack 51.8
Defense 71.2
Form 48.6
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

73.0 vs 69.3

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 55.4

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Utrecht logo Utrecht
W
Cambuur (46%)
L
Cambuur (46%)
D
Ajax (76%)
W
Heerenveen (63%)
W
Fortuna (46%)
W
Ajax (76%)
W
NAC (50%)
L
Excelsior (69%)
Ajax logo Ajax
W
Burnley (24%)
W
Vojvodina (67%)
W
Olympiakos (41%)
D
Bochum (45%)
D
Utrecht (66%)
W
Groningen (53%)
D
Heerenveen (68%)
L
Utrecht (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Cambuur A
1 - 0 W
46%
Cambuur A
0 - 1 L
46%
Ajax A
1 - 1 D
76%
Heerenveen H
3 - 2 W
63%
Fortuna H
2 - 0 W
46%
Ajax A
2 - 1 W
76%
NAC H
2 - 0 W
50%
Excelsior A
0 - 5 L
69%
Telstar H
4 - 1 W
68%
PSV A
3 - 4 L
75%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Burnley H
2 - 1 W
24%
Vojvodina A
4 - 1 W
67%
Olympiakos H
1 - 0 W
41%
Bochum H
1 - 1 D
45%
Utrecht H
1 - 1 D
66%
Groningen H
2 - 0 W
53%
Heerenveen A
0 - 0 D
68%
Utrecht H
1 - 2 L
66%
PSV H
2 - 2 D
70%
NAC A
2 - 0 W
54%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Utrecht has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.0) compared to Ajax (SoS: 47.1). This means Utrecht's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Utrecht (1.8 goals per match) and Ajax (1.6 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Ajax has the defensive edge, conceding 0.8 per match compared to Utrecht's 1.5.

Utrecht has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Utrecht has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Ajax is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Utrecht has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Ajax has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Utrecht's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Dutch Eredivisie match (2026-05-24), Ajax prevailed 1-1 against Utrecht. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Ajax secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Utrecht will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ajax will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Dutch Eredivisie match (2026-05-10), Utrecht prevailed 1-2 against Ajax. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Utrecht achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Ajax shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Ajax will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Utrecht will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Utrecht

Utrecht

VS
Ajax

Ajax

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Utrecht

6W 1D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded

Ajax

5W 4D 1L · 16 goals scored · 8 conceded

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