Uzbekistan vs Iran Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.0 vs 58.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Uzbekistan holds the attacking edge with 1.2 goals per match versus Iran's 0.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Uzbekistan giving up 1.8 and Iran giving up 1.7 per fixture.

Iran has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Iran is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Uzbekistan faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Iran can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Uzbekistan. In practical terms, Uzbekistan would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Uzbekistan, with a 6.3-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-12-02), Uzbekistan prevailed 1-0 against Iran. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Uzbekistan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Iran will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Uzbekistan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-11-29), Uzbekistan prevailed 2-0 against Iran. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Uzbekistan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Iran will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Uzbekistan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.