Uzbekistan vs Iran Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.3 vs 54.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Iran holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Uzbekistan's 0.9, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Iran — 0.6 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of Uzbekistan, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Uzbekistan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Iran has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Uzbekistan is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Iran has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Iran. In practical terms, Iran would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Iran in this contest. Their superior power rating of 59.5, compared to 35.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Internationals match (2025-11-18), Uzbekistan prevailed 0-0 against Iran. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Uzbekistan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Iran will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Uzbekistan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.