Vanuatu vs Fiji Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (55.3 vs 60.0), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Vanuatu's attack is on another level, averaging 2.0 goals per match with N/A leading the charge (0 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Vanuatu — 1.2 goals conceded per game and 1 clean sheets put them well ahead of Fiji, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.

Fiji has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Vanuatu has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Fiji is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Vanuatu is on the rise with 3W in last 5, while Fiji shows signs of decline with 0W in last 4.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Vanuatu faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Fiji can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 34.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Vanuatu. In practical terms, Vanuatu would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Vanuatu emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 66.5 compared to 32.1, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Vanuatu as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 2-2 in the Internationals (2026-06-09). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Internationals match (2026-06-06), Vanuatu prevailed 2-1 against Fiji. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Vanuatu secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Fiji will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Vanuatu will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals match (2025-11-17), Vanuatu prevailed 2-0 against Fiji. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Vanuatu secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Fiji will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Vanuatu will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.