Vasco vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Vasco vs Chapecoense: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Vasco
Home Team
Chapecoense
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Vasco
Draw
Chapecoense
Statistical Comparison
2W, 3D, 5L
0W, 2D, 8L
8 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
-7
-14
1 / 10 matches
0 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
0W / 4 matches
0W / 5 matches
0W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 60.2
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 62.5
0W / 1 matches
0W / 3 matches
Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.03
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.01
Attack: 26.2, Defense: 49.1, Form: 19.7
Attack: 29.7, Defense: 23.1, Form: 0.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Vasco
Chapecoense
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.3 vs 49.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Vasco (0.8 goals per match) and Chapecoense (0.9 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
Vasco's backline outperforms Chapecoense's, with 1.5 goals conceded per match versus 2.3.
Chapecoense has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
❄️ Form Momentum: Vasco is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Chapecoense is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Vasco faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Chapecoense can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 6.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Vasco. In practical terms, Vasco would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Vasco, with a 6.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Vasco
Chapecoense
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Vasco
2W 3D 5L · 8 goals scored · 15 conceded
Chapecoense
0W 2D 8L · 9 goals scored · 23 conceded
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