Víkingur R vs Thun Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Víkingur R has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 74.1) compared to Thun (SoS: 53.1). This means Víkingur R's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Thun leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Víkingur R's 1.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Víkingur R — 1.9 goals conceded per game and 1 clean sheets put them well ahead of Thun, who give up 3.4 goals per match at the other end.

Víkingur R has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Thun has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Víkingur R has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 4.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Thun is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Víkingur R faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.9 goals per match. If Thun can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Víkingur R. In practical terms, Víkingur R would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Víkingur R emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (49.7 vs 32.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Europa League encounter (2026-08-13), Víkingur R came out on top with a 3-2 victory over Thun. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Víkingur R secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Thun will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Víkingur R will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Europa League encounter (2026-08-06), Thun came out on top with a 3-0 victory over Víkingur R. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Thun secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Thun completely dominated Víkingur R in that encounter, raising serious questions about Víkingur R's ability to compete at this level. Víkingur R will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Thun will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.