Villarreal vs Ajax Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Villarreal vs Ajax: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Villarreal
Home Team
Ajax
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Villarreal
Draw
Ajax
Statistical Comparison
5W, 2D, 3L
5W, 4D, 1L
21 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
+7
+8
0 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3W / 4 matches
3W / 7 matches
2W / 6 matches
2W / 3 matches
League Difficulty: 83.4, Opponent Quality: 67.8
League Difficulty: 69.3, Opponent Quality: 55.4
2W / 4 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.39
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.16
Attack: 83.7, Defense: 63.8, Form: 59.8
Attack: 51.8, Defense: 71.2, Form: 48.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Villarreal
Ajax
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Context matters here: Villarreal's schedule strength (SoS: 69.6) has been notably more demanding than Ajax's (SoS: 47.1), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.
Villarreal leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.1 goals per game compared to Ajax's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Ajax's backline outperforms Villarreal's, with 0.8 goals conceded per match versus 1.4.
Villarreal has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Villarreal has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Ajax is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Villarreal has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Ajax has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Villarreal faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Ajax can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Villarreal. In practical terms, Villarreal would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
While Villarreal holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Villarreal
Ajax
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Villarreal
5W 2D 3L · 21 goals scored · 14 conceded
Ajax
5W 4D 1L · 16 goals scored · 8 conceded
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