Vitória SC vs Arouca Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Vitória SC vs Arouca: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Vitória SC
Home Team
Arouca
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
Vitória SC
Draw
Arouca
Statistical Comparison
4W, 3D, 3L
5W, 3D, 2L
11 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
0
+5
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 65.4, Opponent Quality: 58.6
League Difficulty: 72.2, Opponent Quality: 58.1
0W / 1 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.1
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26
Attack: 35.5, Defense: 61.2, Form: 38.7
Attack: 53.1, Defense: 79.6, Form: 56.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Vitória SC
Arouca
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.
Context matters here: Arouca's schedule strength (SoS: 63.7) has been notably more demanding than Vitória SC's (SoS: 46.7), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.
The attacking output of Vitória SC and Arouca is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.1 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.
Defensively, Vitória SC and Arouca are evenly matched, allowing 1.1 and 0.9 goals per game respectively.
Arouca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Arouca has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
📈 Form Momentum: Vitória SC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Arouca has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Arouca faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Vitória SC can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 15.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Arouca. In practical terms, Arouca would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, Arouca holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 60.9 against 45.1 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Vitória SC
Arouca
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Vitória SC
4W 3D 3L · 11 goals scored · 11 conceded
Arouca
5W 3D 2L · 14 goals scored · 9 conceded
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