Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.7 vs 49.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Dinamo Zagreb outperforms Vukovar with 1.9 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Dinamo Zagreb — 0.7 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Vukovar, who give up 2.7 goals per match at the other end.

Vukovar has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Dinamo Zagreb has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Dinamo Zagreb is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Vukovar is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Dinamo Zagreb has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.2 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Dinamo Zagreb is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Vukovar shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 38.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Dinamo Zagreb. In practical terms, Dinamo Zagreb would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Dinamo Zagreb emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 66.6 compared to 28.1, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Dinamo Zagreb as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

In their recent Croatia Prva HNL match (2026-04-13), Dinamo Zagreb prevailed 1-4 against Vukovar. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Dinamo Zagreb achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Vukovar shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Dinamo Zagreb completely dominated Vukovar in that encounter, raising serious questions about Vukovar's ability to compete at this level. Vukovar will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Dinamo Zagreb will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.