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Compare Waterford vs Dundalk

Waterford vs Dundalk Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Waterford vs Dundalk: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Waterford Waterford Home Team
Dundalk Dundalk Away Team
Waterford
54.8
D W D W W L W D L W

Last 10 Matches

Dundalk
51.2
D W L L L W W W D W

Performance Radar

Waterford
Dundalk

Categories Won

7

Waterford

4

Draw

4

Dundalk

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Lonergan (7 goals)
G. Arubi (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.9

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.1

48.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 50.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.78

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.22

1.46

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: +0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
54.8

Attack: 64.6, Defense: 51.7, Form: 48.4

51.2

Attack: 49.2, Defense: 59.1, Form: 49.2

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

5
3

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

1
5

61-75'

1
7

76-90+'

3
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford

Power Rating Breakdown

54.8

Overall

Attack 64.6
Defense 51.7
Form 48.4
Consistency 53.2
Dundalk

Power Rating Breakdown

51.2

Overall

Attack 49.2
Defense 59.1
Form 49.2
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

48.1 vs 50.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Waterford logo Waterford
D
Galway Utd (51%)
W
Cobh (43%)
D
St Pat's (49%)
W
Derry (46%)
W
Dundalk (56%)
L
Shamrock (55%)
W
Sligo (36%)
D
Drogheda (46%)
Dundalk logo Dundalk
D
St Pat's (54%)
W
St Mochtas (46%)
L
Drogheda (41%)
L
Shelbourne (58%)
L
Waterford (54%)
W
Bohemians (62%)
W
Galway Utd (51%)
W
Derry (41%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Galway Utd A
0 - 0 D
51%
Cobh H
2 - 1 W
43%
St Pat's H
1 - 1 D
49%
Derry A
4 - 2 W
46%
Dundalk A
3 - 2 W
56%
Shamrock H
0 - 2 L
55%
Sligo H
4 - 0 W
36%
Drogheda A
3 - 3 D
46%
Shelbourne A
1 - 2 L
58%
Drogheda H
2 - 1 W
41%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St Pat's A
1 - 1 D
54%
St Mochtas A
3 - 1 W
46%
Drogheda H
1 - 2 L
41%
Shelbourne A
1 - 2 L
58%
Waterford H
2 - 3 L
54%
Bohemians A
2 - 1 W
62%
Galway Utd A
1 - 0 W
51%
Derry H
2 - 1 W
41%
Drogheda A
1 - 1 D
46%
Shamrock H
1 - 0 W
55%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.9 vs 48.5), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Waterford leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Dundalk's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with Waterford conceding 1.4 and Dundalk conceding 1.2 per match.

Waterford has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Dundalk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Waterford has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Dundalk has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Waterford faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Dundalk can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Dundalk's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent Irish Premier Division match (2026-06-26), Waterford prevailed 2-3 against Dundalk. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Waterford achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Dundalk shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Dundalk will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Waterford will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Waterford

Waterford

VS
Dundalk

Dundalk

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Waterford

5W 3D 2L · 20 goals scored · 14 conceded

Dundalk

5W 2D 3L · 15 goals scored · 12 conceded

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