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Compare Waterford vs Galway Utd

Waterford vs Galway Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Waterford vs Galway Utd: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Waterford Waterford Home Team
Galway Utd Galway Utd Away Team
Waterford
54.8
D W D W W L W D L W

Last 10 Matches

Galway Utd
46.5
D W W L L W L D L W

Performance Radar

Waterford
Galway Utd

Categories Won

10

Waterford

4

Draw

1

Galway Utd

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Lonergan (7 goals)
M. Wolfe (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.9

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.1

47.8

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 49.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.78

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.22

1.53

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
54.8

Attack: 64.6, Defense: 51.7, Form: 48.4

46.5

Attack: 55.4, Defense: 45.6, Form: 39.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

2
5

61-75'

5
7

76-90+'

3
Waterford
Galway Utd
Waterford

Power Rating Breakdown

54.8

Overall

Attack 64.6
Defense 51.7
Form 48.4
Consistency 53.2
Galway Utd

Power Rating Breakdown

46.5

Overall

Attack 55.4
Defense 45.6
Form 39.1
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

48.1 vs 49.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Waterford logo Waterford
D
Galway Utd (51%)
W
Cobh (43%)
D
St Pat's (49%)
W
Derry (46%)
W
Dundalk (56%)
L
Shamrock (55%)
W
Sligo (36%)
D
Drogheda (46%)
Galway Utd logo Galway Utd
D
Waterford (54%)
W
Crumlin United (45%)
W
Sligo (36%)
L
St Pat's (54%)
L
Shamrock (60%)
W
Derry (41%)
L
Dundalk (51%)
D
Shelbourne (58%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Galway Utd A
0 - 0 D
51%
Cobh H
2 - 1 W
43%
St Pat's H
1 - 1 D
49%
Derry A
4 - 2 W
46%
Dundalk A
3 - 2 W
56%
Shamrock H
0 - 2 L
55%
Sligo H
4 - 0 W
36%
Drogheda A
3 - 3 D
46%
Shelbourne A
1 - 2 L
58%
Drogheda H
2 - 1 W
41%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Waterford H
0 - 0 D
54%
Crumlin United H
4 - 0 W
45%
Sligo H
3 - 2 W
36%
St Pat's A
0 - 3 L
54%
Shamrock A
1 - 3 L
60%
Derry H
2 - 1 W
41%
Dundalk H
0 - 1 L
51%
Shelbourne A
1 - 1 D
58%
Bohemians H
2 - 4 L
57%
Sligo A
4 - 1 W
41%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.9 vs 47.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Waterford holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Galway Utd's 1.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Waterford and Galway Utd are evenly matched, allowing 1.4 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.

Waterford has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Galway Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Waterford has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Waterford faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Galway Utd can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 71% win probability for Waterford. In practical terms, Waterford would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Waterford holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Irish Premier Division (2026-07-25). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Waterford

Waterford

VS
Galway Utd

Galway Utd

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Waterford

5W 3D 2L · 20 goals scored · 14 conceded

Galway Utd

4W 2D 4L · 17 goals scored · 16 conceded

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