Waterford vs Shamrock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.9 vs 53.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Waterford and Shamrock is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.0 and 1.9 goals per game respectively.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Waterford giving up 1.4 and Shamrock giving up 1.1 per fixture.

Waterford has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Shamrock has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Shamrock has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Waterford has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Shamrock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Shamrock. In practical terms, Shamrock would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Shamrock, with a 6.4-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Irish Premier Division match (2026-06-19), Shamrock prevailed 0-2 against Waterford. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Shamrock achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Waterford shows genuine quality and mental strength. Waterford will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Shamrock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.