Wellington vs Newcastle Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Wellington vs Newcastle: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Wellington
Home Team
Newcastle
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Wellington
Draw
Newcastle
Statistical Comparison
4W, 2D, 4L
3W, 5D, 2L
10 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
-7
+4
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
2W / 4 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 6 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.1
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.6
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.1
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.07
Attack: 31.5, Defense: 41.0, Form: 37.8
Attack: 50.9, Defense: 57.2, Form: 28.6
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Wellington
Newcastle
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.5 vs 45.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Offensively, Newcastle outperforms Wellington with 1.6 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Newcastle has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Wellington's 1.7.
Wellington has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Newcastle has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
💡 Why This Matters: The 9.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Newcastle. In practical terms, Newcastle would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Newcastle, with a 9.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Wellington
Newcastle
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Wellington
4W 2D 4L · 10 goals scored · 17 conceded
Newcastle
3W 5D 2L · 16 goals scored · 12 conceded
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