West Ham vs Villa Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare West Ham vs Villa: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
West Ham
Home Team
Villa
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
West Ham
Draw
Villa
Statistical Comparison
4W, 3D, 3L
5W, 1D, 4L
16 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
+7
+11
5 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3W / 4 matches
2W / 3 matches
1W / 6 matches
3W / 7 matches
League Difficulty: 82.1, Opponent Quality: 63.1
League Difficulty: 83.5, Opponent Quality: 65.4
1W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.27
Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.59
Attack: 59.3, Defense: 77.8, Form: 44.5
Attack: 87.1, Defense: 75.2, Form: 59.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
West Ham
Villa
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 61.2 vs 68.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Villa leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to West Ham's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Both defenses are comparable, with West Ham conceding 0.9 and Villa conceding 1.1 per match.
West Ham has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Villa has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
West Ham has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: West Ham has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Villa has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 10.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Villa. In practical terms, Villa would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While Villa holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 10.4-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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West Ham
Villa
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
West Ham
4W 3D 3L · 16 goals scored · 9 conceded
Villa
5W 1D 4L · 22 goals scored · 11 conceded
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