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Compare Willem II vs Almere

Willem II vs Almere Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Willem II vs Almere: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Willem II Willem II Home Team
Almere Almere Away Team
Willem II
60.2
W W L W W D W

Last 10 Matches

Almere
55.1
W L L D W W W

Performance Radar

Willem II
Almere

Categories Won

6

Willem II

2

Draw

7

Almere

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
71%

5W, 1D, 1L

57%

4W, 1D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

9 / 7 matches

1.9

13 / 7 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.6

4 / 7 matches

1.3

9 / 7 matches

Goal Difference
+5

+5

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
57%

4 / 7 matches

14%

1 / 7 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
29%

2 / 7 matches

71%

5 / 7 matches

Both Teams to Score
43%

3 / 7 matches

57%

4 / 7 matches

Top Scorer
U. van Aalst (1 goals)
M. Dors (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
100%

3W / 3 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.4

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.0

46.2

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.23

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.06

1.58

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.28

Adjusted Power Rating
60.2

Attack: 40.9, Defense: 75.5, Form: 67.0

55.1

Attack: 60.9, Defense: 54.5, Form: 54.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

1

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

2
1

76-90+'

4
Willem II
Almere
Willem II

Power Rating Breakdown

60.2

Overall

Attack 40.9
Defense 75.5
Form 67.0
Consistency 59.6
Almere

Power Rating Breakdown

55.1

Overall

Attack 60.9
Defense 54.5
Form 54.8
Consistency 44.9

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

44.0 vs 47.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Willem II logo Willem II
W
Mechelen (27%)
W
Volendam (48%)
L
Volendam (43%)
W
Almere (51%)
W
Almere (54%)
D
Waalwijk (41%)
W
Waalwijk (44%)
Almere logo Almere
W
Volendam (43%)
L
Willem II (58%)
L
Willem II (55%)
D
De Graafschap (47%)
W
De Graafschap (45%)
W
Den Bosch (40%)
W
Den Bosch (41%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mechelen H
1 - 0 W
27%
Volendam A
2 - 1 W
48%
Volendam H
1 - 2 L
43%
Almere H
2 - 0 W
51%
Almere A
1 - 0 W
54%
Waalwijk H
1 - 1 D
41%
Waalwijk A
1 - 0 W
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Volendam H
2 - 1 W
43%
Willem II A
0 - 2 L
58%
Willem II H
0 - 1 L
55%
De Graafschap A
2 - 2 D
47%
De Graafschap H
3 - 1 W
45%
Den Bosch H
3 - 0 W
40%
Den Bosch A
3 - 2 W
41%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (44.4 vs 46.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Almere holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus Willem II's 1.3, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Willem II has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Almere's 1.3.

Willem II has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Almere has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Almere has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Willem II is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Willem II has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.29 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Almere has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.86 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for Willem II. In practical terms, Willem II would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

While Willem II holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 5.1-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Dutch Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-05-16), Willem II prevailed 2-0 against Almere. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Willem II secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Almere will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Willem II will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Dutch Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-05-13), Willem II prevailed 0-1 against Almere. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Willem II achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Almere shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Almere will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Willem II will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Willem II

Willem II

VS
Almere

Almere

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Willem II

5W 1D 1L · 9 goals scored · 4 conceded

Almere

4W 1D 2L · 13 goals scored · 9 conceded

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