Wisła Płock vs Raków Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Raków has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 66.1 against considerably stronger competition than Wisła Płock (SoS: 41.3). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Offensively, Raków outperforms Wisła Płock with 2.0 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Raków holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Wisła Płock's 1.4.

Raków is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Raków has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Raków. In practical terms, Raków would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Raków is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 71.3 vs 39.1, and superior metrics across the board, Raków should win this comfortably.

In their recent Polish Ekstraklasa match (2026-07-26), Wisła Płock prevailed 1-2 against Raków. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Wisła Płock achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Raków shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Raków will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Wisła Płock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.