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Compare Wolfsburg vs M'gladbach

Wolfsburg vs M'gladbach Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Wolfsburg vs M'gladbach: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Wolfsburg Wolfsburg Home Team
M'gladbach M'gladbach Away Team
Wolfsburg
47.4
W L D W L D D W L L

Last 10 Matches

M'gladbach
62.7
W W W L W D D L D D

Performance Radar

Wolfsburg
M'gladbach

Categories Won

3

Wolfsburg

2

Draw

10

M'gladbach

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 3D, 4L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Pejčinović (4 goals)
J. Castrop (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
58.5

League Difficulty: 86.4, Opponent Quality: 68.3

63.3

League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 63.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.64

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.24

2.42

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.42

Adjusted Power Rating
47.4

Attack: 50.6, Defense: 57.9, Form: 32.5

62.7

Attack: 75.5, Defense: 71.8, Form: 45.3

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

2

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

4
Wolfsburg
M'gladbach
Wolfsburg

Power Rating Breakdown

47.4

Overall

Attack 50.6
Defense 57.9
Form 32.5
Consistency 53.2
M'gladbach

Power Rating Breakdown

62.7

Overall

Attack 75.5
Defense 71.8
Form 45.3
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.4 vs 81.8

Opponent Quality

68.3 vs 63.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Wolfsburg logo Wolfsburg
W
Verl (48%)
L
Paderborn (84%)
D
Paderborn (82%)
W
St. Pauli (52%)
L
Bayern Munich (77%)
D
Freiburg (66%)
D
M'gladbach (72%)
W
Union Berlin (62%)
M'gladbach logo M'gladbach
W
RW Essen (41%)
W
Wuppertal (43%)
W
Hoffenheim (64%)
L
Augsburg (67%)
W
Dortmund (71%)
D
Wolfsburg (67%)
D
Mainz (65%)
L
Leipzig (79%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Verl H
3 - 0 W
48%
Paderborn A
1 - 2 L
84%
Paderborn H
0 - 0 D
82%
St. Pauli A
3 - 1 W
52%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 1 L
77%
Freiburg A
1 - 1 D
66%
M'gladbach H
0 - 0 D
72%
Union Berlin A
2 - 1 W
62%
Frankfurt H
1 - 2 L
65%
Bayer 04 A
3 - 6 L
75%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
RW Essen A
2 - 1 W
41%
Wuppertal A
6 - 0 W
43%
Hoffenheim H
4 - 0 W
64%
Augsburg A
1 - 3 L
67%
Dortmund H
1 - 0 W
71%
Wolfsburg A
0 - 0 D
67%
Mainz H
1 - 1 D
65%
Leipzig A
0 - 1 L
79%
Heidenheim H
2 - 2 D
71%
Köln A
3 - 3 D
69%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 58.5 vs 63.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

M'gladbach leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Wolfsburg's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with Wolfsburg conceding 1.4 and M'gladbach conceding 1.1 per match.

Wolfsburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

M'gladbach has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: M'gladbach has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for M'gladbach. In practical terms, M'gladbach would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward M'gladbach in this contest. Their superior power rating of 62.7, compared to 47.4 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the German Bundesliga (2026-04-25). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

VS
M'gladbach

M'gladbach

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Wolfsburg

3W 3D 4L · 14 goals scored · 14 conceded

M'gladbach

4W 4D 2L · 20 goals scored · 11 conceded

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