Wolves vs Fulham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 57.7 vs 65.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Wolves and Fulham is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 0.7 and 0.7 goals per game respectively.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Fulham — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Wolves, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Wolves has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Fulham has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 2.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Wolves is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Fulham. In practical terms, Fulham would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Fulham has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.7-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Premier League (2026-05-17). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.