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Compare Worthing vs Eastbourne

Worthing vs Eastbourne Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Worthing vs Eastbourne: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Worthing Worthing Home Team
Eastbourne Eastbourne Away Team
Worthing
59.4
D D W L W W W D W W

Last 10 Matches

Eastbourne
30.5
W L L D L D L L L L

Performance Radar

Worthing
Eastbourne

Categories Won

10

Worthing

4

Draw

1

Eastbourne

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 3D, 1L

10%

1W, 2D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+12

+12

-10

-10

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
W. Makowski (4 goals)
Quevin Castro (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 17
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
100%

3W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
38.3

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 41.9

38.3

League Difficulty: 30.0, Opponent Quality: 43.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.81

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: +0.49

1.19

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.11

Adjusted Power Rating
59.4

Attack: 67.7, Defense: 55.9, Form: 53.0

30.5

Attack: 38.3, Defense: 20.6, Form: 8.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5
2

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

2
6

61-75'

6

76-90+'

2
Worthing
Eastbourne
Worthing

Power Rating Breakdown

59.4

Overall

Attack 67.7
Defense 55.9
Form 53.0
Consistency 61.3
Eastbourne

Power Rating Breakdown

30.5

Overall

Attack 38.3
Defense 20.6
Form 8.8
Consistency 74.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

33.0 vs 30.0

Opponent Quality

41.9 vs 43.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Worthing logo Worthing
D
Enfield T (44%)
D
Frome (46%)
W
Ebbsfleet (43%)
L
Maidstone (62%)
W
Dag & Red (40%)
W
Dorking (39%)
W
Eastbourne (24%)
D
Enfield T (38%)
Eastbourne logo Eastbourne
W
Chelmsford (45%)
L
Totton (38%)
L
Hemel H (45%)
D
Tonbridge (42%)
L
Worthing (60%)
D
Bath (33%)
L
Chippenham (43%)
L
Maidenhead (43%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Enfield T A
1 - 1 D
44%
Frome A
1 - 1 D
46%
Ebbsfleet H
2 - 0 W
43%
Maidstone A
1 - 2 L
62%
Dag & Red H
7 - 2 W
40%
Dorking A
2 - 1 W
39%
Eastbourne H
2 - 1 W
24%
Enfield T A
1 - 1 D
38%
Weston-s-Mare A
3 - 2 W
40%
Totton A
3 - 0 W
43%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Chelmsford A
3 - 1 W
45%
Totton H
2 - 3 L
38%
Hemel H A
1 - 3 L
45%
Tonbridge H
1 - 1 D
42%
Worthing A
1 - 2 L
60%
Bath H
2 - 2 D
33%
Chippenham A
2 - 5 L
43%
Maidenhead H
0 - 1 L
43%
Ebbsfleet H
1 - 3 L
43%
Salisbury A
0 - 2 L
46%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 38.3 vs 38.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Worthing leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.3 goals per game compared to Eastbourne's 1.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Worthing — 1.1 goals conceded per game and 2 clean sheets put them well ahead of Eastbourne, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

Worthing has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Eastbourne has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Worthing has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Worthing has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Eastbourne is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Worthing is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Eastbourne shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Worthing. In practical terms, Worthing would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Worthing in this contest. Their superior power rating of 59.4, compared to 30.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-03), Worthing prevailed 2-1 against Eastbourne. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Worthing secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Eastbourne will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Worthing will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Worthing

Worthing

VS
Eastbourne

Eastbourne

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Worthing

6W 3D 1L · 23 goals scored · 11 conceded

Eastbourne

1W 2D 7L · 13 goals scored · 23 conceded

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