Zambia vs Zimbabwe Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 68.0 vs 65.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Zimbabwe holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Zambia's 1.1, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Zambia and Zimbabwe are evenly matched, allowing 1.8 and 2.0 goals per game respectively.

Zambia has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Zimbabwe has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Zimbabwe has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Zambia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Zimbabwe is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Zimbabwe faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If Zambia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 69% win probability for Zimbabwe. In practical terms, Zimbabwe would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Zimbabwe has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-06-09), Zambia prevailed 3-0 against Zimbabwe. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Zambia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Zambia completely dominated Zimbabwe in that encounter, raising serious questions about Zimbabwe's ability to compete at this level. Zimbabwe will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Zambia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-12-02), Zambia prevailed 3-1 against Zimbabwe. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Zambia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Zimbabwe will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Zambia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.