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Compare Zimbabwe vs Burkina Faso

Zimbabwe vs Burkina Faso Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Zimbabwe vs Burkina Faso: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Zimbabwe Zimbabwe Home Team
Burkina Faso Burkina Faso Away Team
Zimbabwe
42.6
W L W W L D L W L L

Last 10 Matches

Burkina Faso
51.9
D L D W L W L W W W

Performance Radar

Zimbabwe
Burkina Faso

Categories Won

3

Zimbabwe

4

Draw

8

Burkina Faso

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Dube (2 goals)
L. Traoré (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 17
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
29%

2W / 7 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.1

League Difficulty: 67.5, Opponent Quality: 54.7

45.4

League Difficulty: 66.0, Opponent Quality: 54.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.22

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.02

1.93

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.13

Adjusted Power Rating
42.6

Attack: 38.4, Defense: 54.5, Form: 38.4

51.9

Attack: 57.2, Defense: 54.1, Form: 47.7

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1

46-60'

2

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

4
Zimbabwe
Burkina Faso
Zimbabwe

Power Rating Breakdown

42.6

Overall

Attack 38.4
Defense 54.5
Form 38.4
Consistency 39.7
Burkina Faso

Power Rating Breakdown

51.9

Overall

Attack 57.2
Defense 54.1
Form 47.7
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

67.5 vs 66.0

Opponent Quality

54.7 vs 54.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Zimbabwe logo Zimbabwe
W
India (62%)
L
Nigeria (77%)
W
Zambia (40%)
W
Botswana (45%)
L
South Africa (43%)
D
Angola (55%)
L
Egypt (55%)
W
Qatar (52%)
Burkina Faso logo Burkina Faso
D
Belarus (59%)
L
Football Union of Russia (78%)
D
Guinea-Bissau (53%)
W
Guinea-Bissau (53%)
L
Ivory Coast (62%)
W
Sudan (34%)
L
Algeria (58%)
W
Equat Guinea (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
India H
1 - 0 W
62%
Nigeria A
0 - 2 L
77%
Zambia H
1 - 0 W
40%
Botswana A
3 - 0 W
45%
South Africa H
2 - 3 L
43%
Angola A
1 - 1 D
55%
Egypt A
1 - 2 L
55%
Qatar A
2 - 1 W
52%
Algeria A
1 - 3 L
72%
Lesotho A
0 - 1 L
46%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Belarus A
2 - 2 D
59%
Football Union of Russia A
0 - 3 L
78%
Guinea-Bissau H
1 - 1 D
53%
Guinea-Bissau H
5 - 0 W
53%
Ivory Coast A
0 - 3 L
62%
Sudan A
2 - 0 W
34%
Algeria A
0 - 1 L
58%
Equat Guinea H
2 - 1 W
38%
Benin A
3 - 0 W
52%
Niger H
3 - 2 W
56%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.1 vs 45.4), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Burkina Faso leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Zimbabwe's 1.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with Zimbabwe conceding 1.3 and Burkina Faso conceding 1.3 per match.

Burkina Faso has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Burkina Faso has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Burkina Faso faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Zimbabwe can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Burkina Faso. In practical terms, Burkina Faso would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Burkina Faso has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

VS
Burkina Faso

Burkina Faso

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Zimbabwe

4W 1D 5L · 12 goals scored · 13 conceded

Burkina Faso

5W 2D 3L · 18 goals scored · 13 conceded

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