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Compare Zorya vs SK Poltava

Zorya vs SK Poltava Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Zorya vs SK Poltava: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Zorya Zorya Home Team
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away Team
Zorya
53.5
L D L W D W D W W L

Last 10 Matches

SK Poltava
28.6
D L L L D L D L D L

Performance Radar

Zorya
SK Poltava

Categories Won

12

Zorya

2

Draw

1

SK Poltava

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

0%

0W, 4D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-16

-16

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Vantukh (2 goals)
V. Sad (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
14%

1W / 7 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
100%

3W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
62.4

League Difficulty: 82.1, Opponent Quality: 61.0

64.1

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 71.2

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 7 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.51

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.21

0.79

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
53.5

Attack: 48.7, Defense: 71.2, Form: 45.0

28.6

Attack: 26.6, Defense: 26.6, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

Zorya
SK Poltava
Zorya

Power Rating Breakdown

53.5

Overall

Attack 48.7
Defense 71.2
Form 45.0
Consistency 50.5
SK Poltava

Power Rating Breakdown

28.6

Overall

Attack 26.6
Defense 26.6
Form 0.0
Consistency 92.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

82.1 vs 98.0

Opponent Quality

61.0 vs 71.2

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Zorya logo Zorya
L
Göztepe (55%)
D
Grimsby (56%)
L
Konyaspor (42%)
W
Karpaty Lviv (83%)
D
Polissya (73%)
W
Oleksandria (59%)
D
Kharkiv (60%)
W
Rukh Lviv (53%)
SK Poltava logo SK Poltava
D
Epitsentr (72%)
L
Dynamo Kyiv (75%)
L
LNZ Cherkasy (70%)
L
Shakhtar D (78%)
D
Kryvbas KR (72%)
L
Kolos (85%)
D
Obolon (68%)
L
Polissya (73%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Göztepe H
1 - 2 L
55%
Grimsby H
1 - 1 D
56%
Konyaspor H
1 - 2 L
42%
Karpaty Lviv A
2 - 1 W
83%
Polissya H
0 - 0 D
73%
Oleksandria A
2 - 1 W
59%
Kharkiv H
1 - 1 D
60%
Rukh Lviv A
2 - 1 W
53%
Veres Rivne H
2 - 0 W
51%
Shakhtar D H
1 - 2 L
78%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Epitsentr A
0 - 0 D
72%
Dynamo Kyiv H
0 - 2 L
75%
LNZ Cherkasy A
0 - 2 L
70%
Shakhtar D H
0 - 4 L
78%
Kryvbas KR H
3 - 3 D
72%
Kolos A
0 - 2 L
85%
Obolon A
1 - 1 D
68%
Polissya H
0 - 4 L
73%
Oleksandria H
3 - 3 D
54%
Kharkiv A
0 - 2 L
65%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 62.4 vs 64.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Zorya holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus SK Poltava's 0.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Zorya holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.1 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to SK Poltava's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

Zorya has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

SK Poltava has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Zorya is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Zorya has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: SK Poltava is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Zorya is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while SK Poltava shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Zorya. In practical terms, Zorya would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Zorya in this contest. Their superior power rating of 53.5, compared to 28.6 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Zorya

Zorya

VS
SK Poltava

SK Poltava

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Zorya

4W 3D 3L · 13 goals scored · 11 conceded

SK Poltava

0W 4D 6L · 7 goals scored · 23 conceded

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