Madagascar vs Marruecos Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Morocco has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 63.3 against considerably stronger competition than Madagascar (SoS: 48.2). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Morocco holds the attacking edge with 2.2 goals per match versus Madagascar's 1.9, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Morocco — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Madagascar, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Morocco has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Madagascar has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Madagascar has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.78 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Morocco has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Morocco. In practical terms, Morocco would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Morocco in this contest. Their superior power rating of 75.3, compared to 51.2 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-06-02), Morocco prevailed 4-0 against Madagascar. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Morocco secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Morocco completely dominated Madagascar in that encounter, raising serious questions about Madagascar's ability to compete at this level. Madagascar will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Morocco will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.