Auxerre vs Nice Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Auxerre has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 76.8 against considerably stronger competition than Nice (SoS: 43.7). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Offensively, Auxerre outperforms Nice with 2.1 goals per match to 1.7, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Nice's backline outperforms Auxerre's, with 0.8 goals conceded per match versus 1.2.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Auxerre has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Nice has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Auxerre. In practical terms, Auxerre would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Auxerre emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (72.6 vs 52.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-05-10), Auxerre beat Nice 2-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Auxerre secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Nice will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Auxerre will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.