Mazatlán vs Tijuana Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.6 vs 42.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mazatlán averaging 1.5 and Tijuana averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Tijuana holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Mazatlán's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

Tijuana has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Tijuana has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Tijuana is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Mazatlán shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Tijuana. In practical terms, Tijuana would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Tijuana in this contest. Their superior power rating of 54.7, compared to 35.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.