Paraguay vs Marruecos Estadísticas Cara a Cara y Comparación de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.4 vs 63.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Morocco's attack is on another level, averaging 2.2 goals per match with I. Saibari leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Morocco holds the advantage — allowing just 0.8 goals per game against Paraguay's 1.1.

Paraguay has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Morocco has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Morocco has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Morocco has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Morocco. In practical terms, Morocco would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Morocco emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (75.3 vs 53.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-31), Morocco prevailed 2-1 against Paraguay. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Morocco secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Paraguay will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Morocco will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.