Benfica II vs Lusitano 1911 Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.8 vs 51.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Benfica II leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Lusitano 1911's 1.0 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Benfica II holds the advantage — allowing just 0.6 goals per game against Lusitano 1911's 1.0.

Benfica II has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Lusitano 1911 has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Lusitano 1911 is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 1 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Benfica II is on the rise with 3W in last 5, while Lusitano 1911 shows signs of decline with 0W in last 1.

💡 Why This Matters: The 30.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Benfica II. In practical terms, Benfica II would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Benfica II holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 64.9 against 34.6 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Benfica II a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Club Friendlies (2026-07-15). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.