Benfica vs Belenenses Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 58.5 vs 54.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Benfica possess a formidable attacking unit, with Rafa accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.4 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Benfica is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Belenenses leaks 3.5 goals per match.

Benfica has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belenenses has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Benfica has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Benfica has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Belenenses is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 2 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Benfica is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Belenenses shows signs of decline with 0W in last 2.

💡 Why This Matters: The 46.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Benfica. In practical terms, Benfica would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Benfica holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 71.9 against 25.4 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Benfica a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-24), Benfica prevailed 5-1 against Belenenses. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Benfica secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-1 scoreline was emphatic — Benfica completely dominated Belenenses in that encounter, raising serious questions about Belenenses's ability to compete at this level. Belenenses will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Benfica will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.