Bologna vs Napoli Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 62.0 vs 52.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Napoli outperforms Bologna with 1.5 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Napoli — 0.9 goals conceded per game and 6 clean sheets put them well ahead of Bologna, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Bologna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Napoli has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Napoli. In practical terms, Napoli would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Napoli emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.7 vs 40.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-05-11), Bologna beat Napoli 2-3. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Bologna achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Napoli shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Napoli will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bologna will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.