Dortmund vs Frankfurt Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.4 vs 55.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Frankfurt holds the attacking edge with 2.2 goals per match versus Dortmund's 1.9, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Dortmund holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Frankfurt's 1.7.

Dortmund has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Frankfurt has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Dortmund has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Dortmund has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Dortmund is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Frankfurt shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Dortmund. In practical terms, Dortmund would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Dortmund has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-05-08), Dortmund beat Frankfurt 3-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Dortmund secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Frankfurt will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Dortmund will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.