Cabo Verde vs Costa do Marfim Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Context matters here: Côte d'Ivoire's schedule strength (SoS: 80.1) has been notably more demanding than Cabo Verde's (SoS: 61.3), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Côte d'Ivoire possess a formidable attacking unit, with N/A accounting for 0 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 3.7 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Côte d'Ivoire is far superior, conceding just 0.2 goals per match with 7 clean sheets, while Cabo Verde leaks 2.4 goals per match.

Cabo Verde has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Côte d'Ivoire has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Côte d'Ivoire has an exceptional home record with a 86% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Côte d'Ivoire is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cabo Verde is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

🔥 Form Momentum: Côte d'Ivoire is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 9 matches with 33 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Côte d'Ivoire is on the rise with 8W in last 9, while Cabo Verde shows signs of decline with 0W in last 5.

💡 Why This Matters: The 78.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Côte d'Ivoire. In practical terms, Côte d'Ivoire would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Côte d'Ivoire holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 98.2 against 19.8 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Côte d'Ivoire a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 0-0 in the Internationals Women (2026-06-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-06-05), Côte d'Ivoire prevailed 3-0 against Cabo Verde. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Côte d'Ivoire secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Côte d'Ivoire completely dominated Cabo Verde in that encounter, raising serious questions about Cabo Verde's ability to compete at this level. Cabo Verde will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Côte d'Ivoire will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.