Costa do Marfim vs Mali Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: Côte d'Ivoire's schedule strength (SoS: 80.1) has been notably more demanding than Mali's (SoS: 57.5), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Côte d'Ivoire possess a formidable attacking unit, with N/A accounting for 0 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 3.7 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Côte d'Ivoire — 0.2 goals conceded per game and 7 clean sheets put them well ahead of Mali, who give up 1.0 goals per match at the other end.

Côte d'Ivoire has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Côte d'Ivoire has an exceptional home record with a 86% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Côte d'Ivoire is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Côte d'Ivoire is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 9 matches with 33 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: Mali is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Côte d'Ivoire is on the rise with 8W in last 9, while Mali shows signs of decline with 0W in last 4.

💡 Why This Matters: The 57.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Côte d'Ivoire. In practical terms, Côte d'Ivoire would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Côte d'Ivoire holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 98.2 against 40.7 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Côte d'Ivoire a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-07-20), Côte d'Ivoire prevailed 0-1 against Mali. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Côte d'Ivoire achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Mali shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Mali will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Côte d'Ivoire will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.