Costa do Marfim vs Mauritânia Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 80.1 vs 71.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Côte d'Ivoire's attack is on another level, averaging 3.7 goals per match with N/A leading the charge (0 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Côte d'Ivoire is far superior, conceding just 0.2 goals per match with 7 clean sheets, while Mauritania leaks 2.7 goals per match.

Côte d'Ivoire has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Mauritania has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Côte d'Ivoire is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Côte d'Ivoire is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 9 matches with 33 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: Mauritania is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Côte d'Ivoire is on the rise with 8W in last 9, while Mauritania shows signs of decline with 2W in last 3.

💡 Why This Matters: The 36.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Côte d'Ivoire. In practical terms, Côte d'Ivoire would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Côte d'Ivoire holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 98.2 against 61.4 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Côte d'Ivoire a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-04-09), Côte d'Ivoire prevailed 8-0 against Mauritania. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Côte d'Ivoire secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 8-0 scoreline was emphatic — Côte d'Ivoire completely dominated Mauritania in that encounter, raising serious questions about Mauritania's ability to compete at this level. Mauritania will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Côte d'Ivoire will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.