Palace vs Fiorentina Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 64.6 vs 60.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Palace outperforms Fiorentina with 1.6 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Fiorentina holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 5 clean sheets, compared to Palace's leaky backline that surrenders 1.8 goals per match.

Palace has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Fiorentina has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Fiorentina has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Palace's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-04-16), Fiorentina came out on top with a 2-1 victory over Palace. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Fiorentina secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Palace will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fiorentina will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.