Chipre vs Espanha Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Spain has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 65.9) compared to Cyprus (SoS: 53.5). This means Spain's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Spain possess a formidable attacking unit, with Gonzalo García accounting for 3 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 3.2 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Spain is far superior, conceding just 0.5 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Cyprus leaks 2.8 goals per match.

Spain has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Spain is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cyprus is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 55.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Spain. In practical terms, Spain would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Spain holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 87.6 against 32.0 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Spain a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent UEFA Under 21 Championship Qualifiers match (2026-03-27), Spain prevailed 0-7 against Cyprus. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Spain achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Cyprus shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-7 scoreline was emphatic — Spain completely dominated Cyprus in that encounter, raising serious questions about Cyprus's ability to compete at this level. Cyprus will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Spain will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.