Freiburg vs Dortmund Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 74.1) compared to Dortmund (SoS: 63.4). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Freiburg averaging 1.7 and Dortmund averaging 1.9 goals per match.

Defensively, Dortmund holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Freiburg's 1.9.

Freiburg has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Dortmund has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Dortmund has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Dortmund has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 80% win probability for Dortmund. In practical terms, Dortmund would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Dortmund holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 11.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-04-26), Dortmund beat Freiburg 4-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Dortmund secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Dortmund completely dominated Freiburg in that encounter, raising serious questions about Freiburg's ability to compete at this level. Freiburg will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Dortmund will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.