Fulham vs Burnley Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (65.3 vs 59.5), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Fulham (0.7 goals per match) and Burnley (0.8 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Fulham holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Burnley's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

Fulham has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Burnley has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Burnley is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fulham is on the rise with 3W in last 10, while Burnley shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Fulham. In practical terms, Fulham would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Fulham in this contest. Their superior power rating of 45.6, compared to 29.4 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In the Premier League (2026-03-21), Fulham beat Burnley 3-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Fulham secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Burnley will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fulham will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.