Hearts vs Benfica Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 52.8 vs 50.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Benfica possess a formidable attacking unit, with V. Pavlidis accounting for 10 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 3.5 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Benfica holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Hearts's leaky backline that surrenders 2.0 goals per match.

Hearts has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Benfica has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Benfica is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 35 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Benfica is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Hearts shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Benfica. In practical terms, Benfica would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Benfica is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 78.1 vs 46.1, and superior metrics across the board, Benfica should win this comfortably.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa League (2026-08-13). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent UEFA Europa League encounter (2026-08-06), Benfica came out on top with a 6-1 victory over Hearts. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Benfica secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 6-1 scoreline was emphatic — Benfica completely dominated Hearts in that encounter, raising serious questions about Hearts's ability to compete at this level. Hearts will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Benfica will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.