Hungria vs Israel Estatísticas de Confrontos Diretos e Comparação de Forma

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Israel has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 78.7 against considerably stronger competition than Hungary (SoS: 63.1). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Hungary averaging 1.2 and Israel averaging 1.3 goals per match.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Israel — 0.0 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Hungary, who give up 1.6 goals per match at the other end.

Hungary has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Israel is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.0 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Hungary is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Israel is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 36.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Israel. In practical terms, Israel would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Israel emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 78.6 compared to 42.1, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Israel as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

In their recent Under 21 Internationals match (2026-03-26), Israel prevailed 0-1 against Hungary. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Israel achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hungary shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hungary will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Israel will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.